It’s ‘everything’ everywhere this weekend, but Oscar Race shocked in more ways than one – analysis

There is no question that the champagne corks will burst Everything, everywhere, all at once And The whale Indie distributor A24 tonight. Not only did he put on a record-setting performance at the SAG Awards, where he won all five film categories (except for non-television stunt ensemble), but also on Saturday night, where he won best picture at the Producers Guild. Both are frequent Oscar forwards who accurately predicted what would happen at the Oscars last year and for many years to come — not always, but often.

Only two weeks until Oscar Sunday and with the final vote on Thursday it’s only going to get better everything everywhere at once which also so far won the treacherous DGA Grand Prize this past weekend, as well as the often progressive Critics Choice Awards, where it won Best Picture, Best Director, Best Screenplay and two others. Next weekend is a firm favorite to win original screenplay at the WGA Awards and also to rule the Independent Spirit Awards.

RELATED: Critics Choice Awards Go Big For ‘Everything Everywhere At Once,’ But What Does It Mean For Oscar?

Statistically speaking, this is discouraging information for any other film hoping to compete and upset this now undisputed Oscar frontrunner. Since the PGA, DGA, SAG and WGA Awards have been presented together, no film has won all four major guilds and lost the Academy Award for Best Picture. Add in Everything is everywhere Critics polls prevail and the expected Spirits win — just a WGA and Spirits prediction at this point — and you have a juggernaut in an unprecedented position to triumph on Oscar night.

But…

This chaotic season could hold more historical surprises and perhaps another almost Hitchcockian twist. It’s all thanks to Netflix’s turnout at last weekend’s BAFTAs (another industry leader that shares at least 500 voters with Oscar). No news from the western front who picked up seven awards there, almost all of which led to expulsion Everything, everywhere, all at once (which only won film editing) and throw in a wrench for experts. That’s because, oddly enough, it doesn’t take part in any of the aforementioned guild competitions (it’s not eligible for the WGA), meaning the next and only head-to-head in industry circles will come in handy , wait for it , the oscars, where it was nominated for nine awards, including Best Picture, Screenplay, International Feature and more. And even through The At night, the two films do not compete directly in exchange for each other in one of 23 categories, except original musical score and, uh, best photo, so there could be a see-saw battle until the last envelope is opened in a year like no other. Don’t shut down early favorites completely The Fables or Top Gun: Maverick, but their PGA loss in a guild that uses the same scoring method as the Oscars is worrying for their chances. At this point, they will be considered upset, as the all-important dynamic has shifted.

But BAFTA’s recent track record of reaching Best Film Oscar winners is abysmal, with just one film – land of the nomads in the race of Covid Disrupted 2020 – matching the past eight years. This is a good sign everything everywhere but as I said last week, I just have a strong feeling about the Academy voters I’ve talked to over the past few months, and No news from the western front is admired almost everywhere. That means it should do very well on the Academy’s weighted Best Picture voting system, which requires you to list your favorites in order from 1 to 10, with 10 being the least popular. The WWI photo has also gained notoriety through frequent comparisons of its contemporaneity with what is happening in Ukraine.

Everything everywhere He undoubtedly has passionate followers, but there are also those – especially among the older members – who just don’t get it. Maybe they should take the 94 year old Everything, everywhere, all at once Actor James Hong’s witty advice in his Outstanding Ensemble in a Motion Picture acceptance speech at SAG: “You’ll probably have to watch it two or three more times to understand what it’s about.”

So all this just means, as the showbiz saying goes, “It ain’t over till the fat lady sings.” Not a Brendan Fraser joke to put in here, folks.

Spoken of The whale Fraser, his SAG win keeps the real rollercoaster Best Actor race on course for a crash. It looks like it could be up for grabs by anyone at this point, at least three favorite contenders: Fraser, who has now won Critics Choice and SAG; Austin Butler, who won Golden Globe (drama) and BAFTA, and The Banshees of the Inisherins Colin Farrell, winner of Venice and Golden Globe (comedy/musical), as well as several critics’ awards. It’s wide open again, but Fraser’s SAG win really gives him a lot of momentum here. A complete split in three directions can be equal Life Bill Nighy can get upset forever. See, everything is possible here right now, except After sun Paul Meskal.

The whole season, starting now tar Cate Blanchett premiered in Venice and won almost everything for her masterpiece. But the smooth ride to the Oscars got a little bumpy in the Best Actress race due to beloved Michelle Yeoh’s triumph at SAG. Both won at the Globes, with Blanchett in Drama and Yeoh in Comedy/Musical. It makes what seemed like a certainty for the great Cate to cruise to a win (which would be her third) on Oscar night just a little more exciting. But you still have to put them in the head position. There is a lot of support for it tar among the Oscar voters I talk to.

As for the supporting races, SAG threw in another wrench with Jamie Lee Curtis’ popular win and her emotional and compelling acceptance speech at SAG Everything, everywhere, all at once. Due to the wisdom of pundits(?), it was unexpected that another popular Hollywood veteran, Angela Bassett, was on her way to her first Oscar win Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. After a weekend of dominating the NAACP Image Awards, and a Golden Globe and Critics Choice winner, it seemed like she was on the slide. But now she’s been upset for two straight weeks, and the bad news for Bassett’s chances is that both of the first two showdowns were among their peers – at BAFTA, where she lost to fellow Oscar nominee Kerry Condon banshees, and now at SAG. I’m starting to wonder if all the publicity about her potentially being the first actress to win an Oscar for a Marvel film is going to be negative. Could there be a reason why no one has ever won for a Marvel movie? As with the lead and lead actresses, SAG also threw the supporting actress into the unknown.

This seems to me to be the best sidekick that went Everything is everywhere irresistible Ke Huy Quan at SAG and pretty much everywhere except BAFTA, where Barry Keoghan surprisingly won in his hometown banshees, is again as close to a spot as you can get in the Oscar drama races. He will win.

Oscar season just got a little more exciting this weekend, And in many ways a bit unpredictable.

As I always say: be persecuted.