About two weeks ago, Alexis Tsipras ended talk that he might stay cautious about starting a new party. Yet this strong move seems too weak to keep his polling numbers from falling.

People close to the former Prime Minister, speaking from Amalias Street and nearby offices, say political work is speeding up. They point to PASOK’s flat ratings and talk of a new party by a politician from Karystos. Still, they deny any rush toward a quick launch.

In simple terms: no big news will come before Easter. There will be no party launch.

Quiet work is happening behind the scenes, though not in a flashy way. Teams are being formed and ideas are being drafted. One plan, called “new Diavgeia,” is being shaped by Tsipras’s Institute and will be made public very soon, most likely within the next twenty-four hours.

Earlier today, through the Institute’s page, Tsipras also set up a group to write a paper that brings together social democracy, the Radical Left, and green politics.

The clear fact shown in recent opinion polls is that delays hurt Tsipras. His possible scores are slowly shrinking.

Three surveys from the past two months show this drop.

All three polls, done in January, show less support for a new Tsipras party.

On 29 January, people were asked: “How likely are you to vote for a new party led by the former Prime Minister?”
– 74.7% answered “probably would not vote for it / definitely would not vote for it”
– 20.4% answered “definitely would vote for it / probably would vote for it”

On 17 December, the question was: “How likely are you to vote for a new party led by Alexis Tsipras?”
– 23.2% said they would vote for it
– 71.4% said they would not choose it

On 22 January, about a possible party under Alexis Tsipras:
– 10% said very likely to vote for it
– 9% said quite likely
– This gives a starting base of 19%
– 66% said it was unlikely they would vote for it
Support is stronger among people who place themselves on the left, centre-left, or centre

On 18 December, about the chance of backing a party from Alexis Tsipras:
– Very likely: 11%
– Quite likely: 11%
– Not very likely: 14%
– Unlikely: 63%
– No answer: 1%

In a 21 January poll: 11% positive, 8% interested

In Pulse’s November poll: 14% view a Tsipras party positively, while 10% look at it with interest.