‘Avatar: The Sense of Water’ would surpass the premiere of ‘Avatar’ but would be far from its triumph, according to forecasts

‘Avatar: The Sense of Water’ was born in the shadow of the highest-grossing film in history. Against this backdrop, there has been much speculation about how it will be received when it opens in mid-December. Deadline has posted that the sequel to ‘Avatar’ is estimated to Raising more than $150 million in its first weekend in the US, where advance tickets are already available. Forecasts state that its premiere could raise around 175 million, with the most optimistic aiming for 200 million. Even the smallest of estimates it would far exceed the opening that the original film hadwhich grossed $77 million in its opening weekend in the United States.

“Sequel to James Cameron’s ‘Avatar’ expected to cause biggest hit”wrote Kaare Eriksen for Variety. The outlet announces that the tour screening would place it as the year’s second-highest grosser in North America, just one spot behind another sequel: ‘Top Gun: Maverick’, which has grossed nearly $1.5 billion worldwide since its release. Faced with the ranking, he stresses that it is important to take into account that ‘Avatar: The Sense of Water’ “You barely have two weeks to contribute to 2022 revenue”.

The theatrical release, however, is not as decisive as it was in 2009: in addition to the numbers, the estimates published by Deadline report that the film would have grossed over 600 million dollars between streaming and post-video-on-demand platforms. first in theaters. Total, Variety estimates that the film will surpass $1.2 billion over the next ten years, which while an admirable amount puts it less than half of its predecessor.which records 2.9 billion.

It should be noted that the US estimates are not the most representative of the total, as Shawn Robbins of Box Office Pro points out: “although its domestic release should achieve ‘hit’ status on its own, ‘Avatar’ international appeal and Cameron’s fan base will be even more important for the box office”. Proof of this is that “The first film earned 73% of its original worldwide gross outside the United States, and its re-release last September earned 67% of its $75.5 million in international territories.”.

What works in your favor?

Despite being one of the year’s most anticipated films, if not the most, estimates indicate that it won’t surpass the record-breaking box office triumph ‘Avatar’. Despite this, there are several issues that could help him rank well. For one thing, the film opens during the holiday season, which according to Variety is when people are most likely to go to the movies. Also, Box Office Pro states this “It’s exactly the kind of film that could appeal to the less frequent viewer if it is received strongly and captures the spirit of the moment”. It also highlights Cameron’s ability to appeal to a diverse audience, both in terms of race and gender “should be another selling point of this sequel, as minorities have become a growing part of the movie population”.